Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Portadown win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.