Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
46.83% ( 0.36) | 25.26% ( -0.04) | 27.91% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.3% ( 0.01) | 49.7% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.29% ( 0) | 71.71% ( 0) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.76% ( 0.16) | 21.24% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.86% ( 0.25) | 54.14% ( -0.24) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.92% ( -0.23) | 32.08% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.45% ( -0.27) | 68.55% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.82% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 27.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |