Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 73.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 9.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 0-3 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Rangers |
9.57% ( 0.35) | 16.64% ( 0.04) | 73.8% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 45.66% ( 1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.4% ( 0.93) | 41.6% ( -0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36% ( 0.93) | 64% ( -0.92) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.6% ( 1.35) | 49.4% ( -1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.77% ( 0.93) | 84.24% ( -0.92) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.24% ( 0.15) | 9.76% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.53% ( 0.34) | 32.47% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Rangers |
1-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.18% Total : 9.57% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.64% | 0-2 @ 13.05% ( -0.38) 0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 10.12% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 7.14% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 5.89% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 4.15% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.14) 1-5 @ 1.93% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) 0-6 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 73.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 35 |
5 | Hibernian | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 33 |
6 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
7 | Hearts | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 30 |
8 | St Mirren | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
10 | Dundee | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
12 | St Johnstone | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 21 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |