Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.