MX23RW : Friday, December 13 16:44:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Waalwijk logo

Ajax
4 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Brobbey (9', 35'), Hlynsson (64'), Berghuis (87')
Tahirovic (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kramer (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-3 Ajax
Sunday, January 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Heracles
Friday, January 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-0 RKC Waalwijk

Ajax finally appear to have hit their stride this season, and with momentum growing they should have far too much for a struggling RKC Waalwijk side on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawRKC Waalwijk
68.66% (-0.032999999999987 -0.03) 16.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 14.61% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.99% (-0.204 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.12% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)27.88% (0.234 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.4% (-0.293 -0.29)48.59% (0.292 0.29)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.56% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)7.44% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.23% (-0.169 -0.17)26.76% (0.167 0.17)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (-0.175 -0.17)31.95% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-0.197 -0.2)68.4% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 68.66%
    RKC Waalwijk 14.61%
    Draw 16.73%
AjaxDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.02% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 5.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.53% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 68.66%
1-1 @ 7.05% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.38% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 16.73%
1-2 @ 4.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 2.71% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.55% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 14.61%

How you voted: Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk

Ajax
100%
Draw
0.0%
RKC Waalwijk
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
RKC Waalwijk
2-3
Ajax
Kramer (37'), Oukili (51')
Meijers (42'), Oukili (87')
Brobbey (30'), Bergwijn (43' pen.), Berghuis (57')
Feb 12, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ajax
3-1
RKC Waalwijk
Brobbey (50'), Maduro (78'), Kudus (81')
Seuntjens (17')
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
Ajax
Clement (40')
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 12
RKC Waalwijk
0-5
Ajax

Gaari (85')
Haller (17', 83'), Berghuis (42', 57'), Maduro (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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