Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
54.21% ( -0) | 22.28% | 23.52% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 59.15% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.75% | 40.25% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.38% | 62.62% ( -0) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% | 14.84% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.85% ( -0) | 43.15% ( 0) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% ( 0) | 30.54% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.24% ( 0) | 66.76% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 8.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.22% 3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.69% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.21% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 23.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |