MX23RW : Tuesday, November 19 00:28:44| >> :120:29503:29503:
Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Adeboyejo (79')
Johnston (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mulley (33')
Zych (40'), Barnes (49'), Amundsen-Day (77'), Zych (95')
Aston Villa U21s win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Aston Villa Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 2-3 Newcastle U21s
Saturday, October 5 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Aston Villa Under-21s

The points could be shared in Bolton, as the home side may be fatigued from negotiating a frantic fixture list since midway through September, allowing Villa's young guns to secure a draw. The visitors may have leaked lots of goals this season, but they will be aided by a special guest star - and they pose a significant threat up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawAston Villa Under-21s
69.69% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 15.63% (0.017999999999999 0.02) 14.68% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68.1% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)21.99% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.11% (-0.163 -0.16)40.88% (0.166 0.17)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.18% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)5.82% (0.0299 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.62% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)22.37% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)27.68% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.127 -0.13)63.24% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 69.69%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 14.68%
    Draw 15.63%
Bolton WanderersDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 5.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.58% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 3.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.5%
5-2 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
6-2 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 69.69%
1-1 @ 5.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.61% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.63%
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.07% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 14.68%

How you voted: Bolton vs Aston Villa U21s

Bolton Wanderers
67.6%
Draw
23.5%
Aston Villa Under-21s
8.8%
34
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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