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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Brentford
3 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Toney (19'), Mee (58'), Maupay (68')
Toney (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Danilo (3'), Wood (65')
Mangala (18'), Danilo (51'), Montiel (54')

The Match

Match Report

Ivan Toney caps his return to football with a goal in Brentford's 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Saturday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawNottingham Forest
52.32% (-1.139 -1.14) 23.86% (0.243 0.24) 23.81% (0.892 0.89)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.282 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97% (-0.14 -0.14)47.02% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (-0.13 -0.13)69.26% (0.125 0.13)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (-0.476 -0.48)17.94% (0.47 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (-0.823 -0.82)48.77% (0.819 0.82)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (0.72 0.72)33.99% (-0.725 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32% (0.771 0.77)70.67% (-0.776 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 52.32%
    Nottingham Forest 23.81%
    Draw 23.85%
BrentfordDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.165 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.178 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.81%

How you voted: Brentford vs Nott'm Forest

Brentford
51.1%
Draw
28.8%
Nottingham Forest
20.1%
139
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Brentford
Dominguez (65')
Niakhate (30'), Sangare (68')
Niakhate (56')
Norgaard (58')
Hickey (2'), Onyeka (88')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brentford
2-1
Nott'm Forest
Toney (82'), Dasilva (90+4')
Danilo (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Nott'm Forest
2-2
Brentford
Gibbs-White (20'), Jorgensen (90+6' og.)
Mbeumo (45+3' pen.), Wissa (75')
Mar 20, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Brentford
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Toney (12' pen.)
Janelt (26'), Dalsgaard (35'), Marcondes (90')
Krovinovic (63')
Mighten (25'), Cafu (67'), Ameobi (78'), Figueiredo (90')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 18
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Brentford
Worrall (90+2')
Figueiredo (61'), Samba (64'), Knockaert (79')
Knockaert (90+5')
Dalsgaard (15'), Dasilva (83'), Toney (88')
Toney (64'), Raya (82'), Janelt (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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