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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Bristol City win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Southampton |
19.64% ( -0.21) | 21.36% ( 0.02) | 58.99% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.96% ( -0.39) | 41.04% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.57% ( -0.4) | 63.43% ( 0.4) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.44% ( -0.43) | 34.56% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.72% ( -0.46) | 71.28% ( 0.46) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.4% ( -0.07) | 13.59% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.27% ( -0.14) | 40.73% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.64% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 58.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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