MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 11:49:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Southampton logo

Bristol City
3 - 1
Southampton

Bell (52'), Dickie (72'), Cornick (82')
Vyner (65'), Williams (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (90+5' pen.)
Fraser (90+2'), Deen Sulemana (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Southampton

Southampton will be eyeing their 20th Championship win of the campaign on Tuesday evening, but it will be tough against a solid Bristol City outfit. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared in this match, but we just have a feeling that the Saints will shade it to secure a vital three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Bristol City win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSouthampton
19.64% (-0.206 -0.21) 21.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 58.99% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 56.54% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (-0.386 -0.39)41.04% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (-0.396 -0.4)63.43% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)34.56% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (-0.461 -0.46)71.28% (0.462 0.46)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)13.59% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (-0.138 -0.14)40.73% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 19.64%
    Southampton 58.99%
    Draw 21.36%
Bristol CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 5.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.99% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.64%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 6.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.22% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.1% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 58.99%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Southampton

Bristol City
19.8%
Draw
17.9%
Southampton
62.3%
106
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 24, 2013 7.45pm
Dec 30, 2011 9.53pm
Southampton
0-1
Bristol City

Schneiderlin (65'), Fox (90')
Pearson (79')
Carey (34'), Wilson (61'), Pearson (69'), James (90'), Maynard (90')
Nov 26, 2011 3pm
Feb 14, 2009 3pm
Bristol City
2-0
Southampton
Adebola (34'), Sproule (90')
Fontaine (56'), Orr (86'), Williams (89')

Skacel (15'), Surman (50'), Schneiderlin (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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