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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Bromley win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Bromley | Draw | Notts County |
35.57% ( 0.06) | 24.03% ( 0.01) | 40.4% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 61.16% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.81% ( -0.04) | 41.18% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.42% ( -0.04) | 63.58% ( 0.04) |
Bromley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.01% ( 0.02) | 22.99% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.21% ( 0.02) | 56.78% ( -0.03) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( -0.05) | 20.58% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.88% ( -0.08) | 53.11% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Bromley | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.57% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |