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Championship header 2

League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Cambridge
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Taylor (71'), Kaikai (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omochere (77')
Dolan (16'), Heneghan (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Blackburn 5-2 Cambridge
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-3 Derby
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Fleetwood Town

 With just a nine-point gap between the sides, this is a crucial game for both sides, and nerves may be on show. However, we cannot ignore that Cambridge's home advantage could prove key, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambridge United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
46.01% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 25.17% (0.0010000000000012 0) 28.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.4% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)48.8% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)70.9% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)54.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)30.94% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)67.23% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 46%
    Fleetwood Town 28.82%
    Draw 25.17%
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 46%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 28.82%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Fleetwood

Cambridge United
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
4-0
Fleetwood
Andrew (7'), Kachunga (11'), Okenabirhie (13'), Ahadme (83')
Okedina (38')

Stockley (65')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Fleetwood
0-2
Cambridge

Robertson (14'), Brown (15'), Mayor (26'), Vela (30')
Digby (31'), Ahadme (59')
Brophy (28'), Digby (30'), Lankester (73')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cambridge
2-1
Fleetwood
Lankester (3'), Smith (57' pen.)
Quitirna (82')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Fleetwood
1-0
Cambridge
Rooney (88')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Fleetwood
1-1
Cambridge
Lane (72')
Camps (73')
Pilkington (65' og.)
May (41'), Okedina (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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