Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
Danubio2 - 1Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-3 Danubio
Thursday, November 16 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Thursday, November 16 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Cerro Largo
Wednesday, November 15 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Wednesday, November 15 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Danubio | Draw | Penarol |
25.25% ( -0.44) | 28.69% ( 0.05) | 46.06% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 41.96% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.42% ( -0.38) | 63.58% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.12% ( -0.27) | 82.88% ( 0.27) |
Danubio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.07% ( -0.62) | 41.93% ( 0.62) |