MX23RW : Tuesday, November 19 00:30:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
2 - 3
Man City U21s

Ilesanmi (3'), Wheeldon (38')
Gill (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wright (45' pen.), Hendersson-Hall (80'), Warhurst (86')
Simpson-Pussey (50'), Samuel (85')
Samuel (90')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Manchester City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 3-1 Derby U21s
Friday, August 16 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 59.62%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 21.28% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawManchester City Under-21s
21.28% (0.704 0.7) 19.1% (0.272 0.27) 59.62% (-0.973 -0.97)
Both teams to score 67.9% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.42% (-0.327 -0.33)27.58% (0.328 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.79% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)48.22% (0.413 0.41)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.37599999999999 0.38)25.16% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.516 0.52)59.88% (-0.514 -0.51)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.73% (-0.315 -0.31)9.27% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.68% (-0.758 -0.76)31.32% (0.758 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 21.28%
    Manchester City Under-21s 59.62%
    Draw 19.1%
Derby County Under-21sDrawManchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.28% (0.141 0.14)
1-0 @ 3.22% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.091 0.09)
2-0 @ 2.22% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 21.28%
1-1 @ 7.66% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.079 0.08)
0-0 @ 2.33% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 19.1%
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.22% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.23% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 4.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.29% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-4 @ 3.11% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-4 @ 2.96% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-5 @ 2.04% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.41% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 59.62%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 12pm
Derby U21s
4-2
Man City U21s
Brown (14', 39'), Davidson (70'), Weston (90')
Cox (62')
Oboavwoduo (21'), Lawrence (50')
Samuel (58'), Okeke (75')
rhs 2.0
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