Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Arena Zabrze
Gornik3 - 1Stal Mielec
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Stal Mielec.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gornik 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, October 5 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, October 5 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-1 Gdansk
Saturday, October 5 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, October 5 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.
Result | ||
Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Stal Mielec |
57.81% ( 0.08) | 22.81% ( -0.03) | 19.38% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.3% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.22% ( 0.08) | 47.78% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% ( 0.07) | 69.97% ( -0.07) |
Gornik Zabrze Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.75% ( 0.06) | 16.25% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.22% ( 0.1) | 45.78% ( -0.1) |
Stal Mielec Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.25% ( -0) | 38.75% ( 0) |