Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.