Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 73.84%. A draw has a probability of 16% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 1-2 (3.04%).
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
73.84% ( 0.11) | 15.95% ( -0.05) | 10.2% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.75% ( 0.01) | 36.24% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.64% ( 0.01) | 58.36% ( -0.02) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.58% ( 0.03) | 8.41% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.76% ( 0.07) | 29.23% ( -0.07) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.49% ( -0.12) | 44.51% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.46% ( -0.09) | 80.53% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
2-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.66% 4-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.7% Total : 73.84% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 15.95% | 1-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 10.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |