Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen3 - 2Ajax
van Amersfoort (11', 46'), Sahraoui (38')
van Beek (49'), Kohlert (51'), Braude (65'), Bochniewicz (72')
van Beek (49'), Kohlert (51'), Braude (65'), Bochniewicz (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bochniewicz (51' og.), Akpom (79')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sittard 3-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, February 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, February 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 PSV
Saturday, February 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, February 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: Heerenveen 1-3 Ajax
Although Heerenveen have shown some life in recent matches, playing host to Ajax remains one of Dutch football's toughest games. While we expect the home side to get on the scoresheet, the visitors should have too much quality in the final third. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 38.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.94%) and 2-3 (4.66%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
38.76% ( -0.88) | 21.27% ( -0.03) | 39.97% ( 0.9) |
| Both teams to score 72.38% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
