Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Napoli win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
57.34% ( -0.51) | 22.39% ( 0.52) | 20.27% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.11% ( -1.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.25% ( -2.36) | 44.75% ( 2.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.89% ( -2.32) | 67.11% ( 2.31) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.64% ( -0.97) | 15.36% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.86% ( -1.84) | 44.13% ( 1.83) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.93% ( -1.37) | 36.06% ( 1.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.15% ( -1.42) | 72.84% ( 1.42) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.33% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
15 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |