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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

Inter Milan
1 - 1
Napoli

Darmian (43')
Pavard (36'), Barella (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jesus (81')
Calzona (37'), Lobotka (52'), Calzona (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-1 Napoli
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Napoli

Inter and Napoli are Serie A's top two for total shots, shots on target, touches in the opposition area and expected goals, so it could be an entertaining encounter at San Siro. Both took severe blows in midweek, but the hosts are best equipped to resume normal service and take one step closer to succeeding their visitors as Italian champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Napoli win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
57.34% (-0.51 -0.51) 22.39% (0.524 0.52) 20.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-1.788 -1.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (-2.361 -2.36)44.75% (2.358 2.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (-2.317 -2.32)67.11% (2.313 2.31)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (-0.96600000000001 -0.97)15.36% (0.961 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.86% (-1.837 -1.84)44.13% (1.832 1.83)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (-1.371 -1.37)36.06% (1.367 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15% (-1.423 -1.42)72.84% (1.42 1.42)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 57.33%
    Napoli 20.27%
    Draw 22.39%
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.689 0.69)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.72% (0.338 0.34)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.239 -0.24)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.166 -0.17)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.119 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 57.33%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.544 0.54)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.39%
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.361 0.36)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.27%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Napoli

Inter Milan
82.9%
Draw
10.3%
Napoli
6.8%
117
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2024 7pm
Final
Napoli
0-1
Inter Milan

Rrahmani (42'), Mazzarri (43'), Zerbin (46'), Simeone (55'), Gaetano (90')
Simeone (60')
Martinez (90+1')
Calhanoglu (44'), de Vrij (47'), Barella (55'), Martinez (90+2')
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
0-3
Inter Milan

Elmas (58'), Rrahmani (73')
Calhanoglu (44'), Barella (61'), Thuram (85')
Darmian (78'), Thuram (85')
May 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 36
Napoli
3-1
Inter Milan
Zambo Anguissa (67'), Di Lorenzo (85'), Gaetano (90+4')
Elmas (64')
Lukaku (82')
Gagliardini (19')
Gagliardini (41')
Jan 4, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 12, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 25
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Insigne (7' pen.)
Insigne (37')
Dzeko (47')
Brozovic (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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