Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Motor Lublin in this match.