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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 38.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.97%) and 2-3 (4.68%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Colchester United |
38.51% ( 0.23) | 21.26% ( 0.01) | 40.23% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 72.43% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.25% ( -0.02) | 26.74% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.83% ( -0.03) | 47.17% ( 0.03) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% ( 0.08) | 15.22% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.13% ( 0.15) | 43.87% ( -0.15) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.43% ( -0.1) | 14.57% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.36% ( -0.19) | 42.63% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Colchester United |
2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.11% Total : 38.51% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.26% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 40.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |