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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Colchester United

Notts County
1 - 0
Colchester

Langstaff (54')
Jones (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mingi (53'), Read (90+4'), Chilvers (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 2-5 Stockport
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 38.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.97%) and 2-3 (4.68%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawColchester United
38.51% (0.232 0.23) 21.26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 40.23% (-0.239 -0.24)
Both teams to score 72.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.74% (0.02 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.83% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)47.17% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (0.082000000000008 0.08)15.22% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (0.15300000000001 0.15)43.87% (-0.153 -0.15)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)14.57% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36% (-0.186 -0.19)42.63% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 38.51%
    Colchester United 40.23%
    Draw 21.26%
Notts CountyDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.58% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.17% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.93% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.012 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 38.51%
1-1 @ 8.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.26%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.68% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.25% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 40.23%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
5-4
Notts County
Chilvers (10'), Fevrier (31'), Read (38', 74'), McGeehan (58')
Egbo (21'), Tovide (68'), McGeehan (72'), Goodman (75')
McGeehan (79')
Austin (21'), Langstaff (48', 90+2'), Jones (67')
McGoldrick (14'), Baldwin (37'), Cameron (54')
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Colchester
3-3
Notts County
Szmodics (8'), Mandron (45'), Pell (67' pen.)
Pell (90')
Stead (16'), Jones (19'), Dennis (32')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Notts County
0-0
Colchester
Jones (24'), Duffy (45'), Vaughan (74'), Hewitt (80')
Pell (64'), Jackson (86')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Colchester
1-3
Notts County
Wright (9')
Forte (51'), Ameobi (69'), Duffy (76')
Virtue-Thick (52'), Stead (82'), Hewitt (86')
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Notts County
2-1
Colchester
Ameobi (68' pen.), Yates (90')
Tootle (10'), Duffy (64'), Ameobi (74'), Grant (77')
Odelusi (89')
Mandron (67'), Jackson (74'), Kent (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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