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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Braga

Porto
2 - 1
Braga

Galeno (45+1' pen.), Pepe (59')
Bruno Clara Santos Mota Fernandes (11'), Mario (19'), Carvalho (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandes (54')
Ferreira (43'), Carvalho (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-3 Man Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Olympiacos 3-0 Braga
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Porto 3-1 Braga

 Braga have lost each of their last four Primeira Liga visits to the Estadio do Dragao and are in for another tough 90 against a Porto side who are unbeaten in 10 straight competitive home games. While we expect Carvalhal's men to put up a fight, Porto boast the firepower needed to get the job done, and we are backing them to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Braga had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawBraga
58.27% (0.321 0.32) 21.52% (-0.125 -0.13) 20.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (0.307 0.31)40.92% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (0.313 0.31)63.31% (-0.308 -0.31)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (0.20399999999999 0.2)13.78% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.91% (0.395 0.39)41.09% (-0.39 -0.39)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)33.93% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)70.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Porto 58.27%
    Braga 20.21%
    Draw 21.51%
PortoDrawBraga
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.05% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.21%

How you voted: Porto vs Braga

Porto
82.9%
Draw
12.2%
Braga
4.9%
41
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 34
Braga
0-1
Porto

Gomez (8'), Oliveira (13'), Borja (79')
Gomez (12')
Galeno (84')
Conceicao (31')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 17
Porto
2-0
Braga
Cardoso (12'), Evanilson (49' pen.)
Pepe (25'), Gonzalez (62'), Conceicao (66'), Conceicao (66')

Horta (26'), Carvalho (45+2'), Oliveira (79'), Djalo (82'), Fonte (90+1')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 5.15pm
Final
Braga
0-2
Porto

Horta (29'), Borja (35'), Gomez (66'), Bruma (85')
Niakate (79')
Horta (53' og.), Otavio (81')
Otavio (25'), Galeno (60'), Conceicao (66'), Uribe (72'), Taremi (76'), Pepe (85')
Wendell (62')
> Match Report
Mar 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 25
Braga
0-0
Porto
> Preview
Sep 30, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 8
Porto
4-1
Braga
Evanilson (32'), Eustaquio (34'), Pepe (63'), Galeno (90+6')
Pepe (55' og.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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