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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
72.93% ( 0.03) | 15.07% ( -0.02) | 12% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.82% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.03% ( 0.05) | 25.97% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.82% ( 0.06) | 46.17% ( -0.06) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.8% ( 0.02) | 6.19% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.58% ( 0.05) | 23.42% ( -0.05) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.9% ( 0.01) | 34.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.21% ( 0.01) | 70.78% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 4.3% Total : 72.93% | 1-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 15.07% | 1-2 @ 3.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |