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Ajax
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Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
Heerenveen

PSV
2 - 0
Heerenveen

Til (33'), Pepi (78')
Ramalho (42'), Pepi (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Walemark (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 PSV
Sunday, December 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Almere City
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Heerenveen

After winning away to the reigning champions on Sunday, it appears nobody will be able to stop PSV in their tracks this season, and a record-extending win is on the cards. Heerenveen have scored in 16 of their last 18 visits here, netting 12 in the last seven, but even though they have avoided defeat in eight of their last 16 games at the Philips Stadion, a defeat to the runaway league leaders looks likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawHeerenveen
72.93% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 15.07% (-0.019 -0.02) 12% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.82% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.03% (0.046000000000006 0.05)25.97% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.82% (0.059999999999995 0.06)46.17% (-0.061 -0.06)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.8% (0.016000000000005 0.02)6.19% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.58% (0.046000000000006 0.05)23.42% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (0.010000000000005 0.01)34.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21% (0.012 0.01)70.78% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 72.93%
    Heerenveen 12%
    Draw 15.07%
PSV EindhovenDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 3.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 3.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 2.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 72.93%
1-1 @ 6.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 15.07%
1-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 2.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 12%

How you voted: PSV vs Heerenveen

PSV Eindhoven
85.2%
Draw
11.1%
Heerenveen
3.7%
54
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
PSV
3-3
Heerenveen
Sangare (14'), De Jong (79'), Simons (86' pen.)
Mwene (65'), Ramalho (77'), Hazard (90+7')
Van Ewijk (33'), Colassin (45+1', 58')
Kohlert (71'), Bruma (85')
Oct 9, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 9
Heerenveen
0-1
PSV
Gakpo (75')
Feb 20, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
PSV
3-1
Heerenveen
Madueke (13'), Gotze (46'), Veerman (50')
Halilovic (36')
Nov 28, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Heerenveen
1-1
PSV
Hajal (73')
Kaib (62')
Vinicius (13')
Gutierrez (67')
May 2, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 31
PSV
2-2
Heerenveen
Vertessen (57'), Gakpo (58')
Viergever (38'), Gakpo (87')
Halilovic (34'), De Jong (59')
Kongolo (22'), Smit (90+4'), Floranus (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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