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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Moreirense

Rio Ave
3 - 2
Moreirense

Morais (26'), Clayton (46'), Vrousai (90+4')
Neto (67'), Mahgoub (90'), Mahgoub (90+5'), Vrousai (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aderlan (49' og.), Gabrielzinho (65')
Ramos (38'), Schettine (80'), Marcelo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alverca 2-2 Rio Ave (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Moreirense 2-1 Porto
Sunday, November 24 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Moreirense

Fresh off the back of reaching the fifth round of the Taca de Portugal, Rio Ave and Moreirense head into this with high spirits and will be looking to keep the juggernaut rolling. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict they will cancel out each other's efforts.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawMoreirense
45.83% (-0.262 -0.26) 26.74% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 27.43% (0.214 0.21)
Both teams to score 48.68% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (-0.055 -0.05)55.8% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)76.93% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)24.3% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.213 -0.21)58.68% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.3% (0.14500000000001 0.15)35.7% (-0.145 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.53% (0.149 0.15)72.47% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 45.83%
    Moreirense 27.43%
    Draw 26.74%
Rio AveDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.83%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.67% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 27.43%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Moreirense

Rio Ave
46.7%
Draw
46.7%
Moreirense
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2024 10.30am
Club Friendlies 3
Rio Ave
1-2
Moreirense
Ronaldo (15')
Madson (26'), Castro (45')
Mar 2, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 24
Moreirense
0-0
Rio Ave
Silva (54')
Sa (90')
Oct 1, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Rio Ave
0-4
Moreirense

Rodrigues (21'), Pantalon (26'), Costinha (33')
Silva (8'), Camacho (18', 50'), Madson (82')
Luis (43'), Alan (53'), Franco (77'), Madson (83'), Wallisson (85')
Mar 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Moreirense
1-1
Rio Ave
Pires (83')
Soares (15'), Camara (15')
Soares (7' og.)
Camacho (15'), Geraldes (42'), Pinto (82'), Augusto (90')
Oct 31, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 6
Rio Ave
2-0
Moreirense
Piazon (14', 83' pen.)
Pele (40')

Pacheco (20'), Ferraresi (32'), Soares (57'), Vitoria (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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