Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.