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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Barnsley

Shrewsbury
0 - 2
Barnsley


Nsiala (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Russell (45+2'), Watters (47')
Pines (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Barnsley

Shrewsbury will be low on confidence after losing nine of their 13 league games this season, and we think that their difficult campaign will continue with a disappointing result at the weekend because we expect Barnsley to have the quality required to claim a narrow away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBarnsley
23.9% (-1.372 -1.37) 23.28% (-0.886 -0.89) 52.82% (2.253 2.25)
Both teams to score 56.18% (1.428 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (2.584 2.58)44.39% (-2.589 -2.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (2.459 2.46)66.76% (-2.464 -2.46)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.247 0.25)32.48% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (0.279 0.28)69.01% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (1.812 1.81)16.79% (-1.817 -1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24% (3.139 3.14)46.75% (-3.145 -3.15)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 23.9%
    Barnsley 52.82%
    Draw 23.27%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 6.15% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-0 @ 6.13% (-0.668 -0.67)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.35 -0.35)
3-1 @ 2.31% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 23.9%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.119 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.636 -0.64)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.145 0.15)
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.508 -0.51)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.81% (0.415 0.42)
0-3 @ 5.16% (0.336 0.34)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.255 0.26)
1-4 @ 2.59% (0.323 0.32)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.274 0.27)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.19 0.19)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.82%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Barnsley

Shrewsbury Town
6.3%
Draw
25.0%
Barnsley
68.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Shrewsbury
1-1
Barnsley
Cadden (7' og.)
Benning (49'), Marosi (67'), Perry (89')
Kane (90+2' pen.)
Phillips (58'), Durand de Gevigney (61')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Barnsley
3-0
Shrewsbury
Kane (19' pen.), Styles (23'), Cole (75')
Styles (14')

Dunkley (4'), Taylor (5'), Flanagan (80')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Barnsley
2-1
Shrewsbury
Cadden (40'), Cole (45+2')
Phillips (90+1')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Barnsley
2-1
Shrewsbury
Mowatt (23'), Brown (55')
Campbell (38')
Whalley (54'), Waterfall (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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