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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
73.52% ( 0.04) | 16.35% ( -0.02) | 10.12% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.93% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.5% ( 0.04) | 38.5% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.2% ( 0.04) | 60.8% ( -0.04) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.96% ( 0.02) | 9.04% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.23% ( 0.04) | 30.77% ( -0.05) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.79% ( -0.01) | 46.21% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.12% ( -0.01) | 81.88% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-0 @ 12.06% 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 4% Total : 73.52% | 1-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 16.36% | 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 10.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 35 |
2 | Walsall | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
3 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
6 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 28 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
9 | Chesterfield | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Salford City | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 22 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 18 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
22 | Morecambe | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 14 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Swindon TownSwindon | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 13 |
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