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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Stoke
2 - 0
Middlesbrough

Bae (40'), Baker (71')
Laurent (46'), Wilmot (51'), Ennis (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Latte Lath (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough

At some point, the feeling may be that Stoke's array of talent will finally return to form, and facing a side like Boro represents the ideal opportunity. However, we are backing Carrick's inconsistent side to take advantage of playing with less pressure to prevail at the bet365 Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
35.46% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.27% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 40.26% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.23% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (0.026999999999994 0.03)42.38% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)64.79% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (0.012999999999991 0.01)21.16% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98% (0.020000000000003 0.02)54.02% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 35.46%
    Middlesbrough 40.26%
    Draw 24.27%
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.09%
1-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.26%

How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City
26.3%
Draw
26.3%
Middlesbrough
47.4%
19
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
0-0
Middlesbrough
Batth (35'), Smith (72')
Dijksteel (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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