Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints2 - 1Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-1 New Saints
Saturday, December 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, December 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
60
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 92.12%. A draw had a probability of 5.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 2.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.49%) and 5-0 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.95%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (0.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
92.12% ( -0.03) | 5.22% ( 0.02) | 2.66% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
