Torque5 - 1Maldonado
Costa (40'), Tinaglini (90')
Alfaro (57'), Rodriguez (80')
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
for
Saturday, November 25 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
Result | ||
Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
39.62% ( 0.25) | 27.35% ( -0.13) | 33.04% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 49.44% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.95% ( 0.47) | 56.05% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.87% ( 0.38) | 77.13% ( -0.38) |
Montevideo City Torque Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.37% ( 0.36) | 27.64% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.83% ( 0.47) | 63.18% ( -0.46) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.32% ( 0.15) | 31.69% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.9% ( 0.18) | 68.1% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.03% |
Piriz (27'), Romero (32'), Cotugno (50'), Reyes (52')
(46'), Guruceaga (52'), Pereyra (76'), Pena (89')