Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
We said: Toulouse 1-2 Monaco
Monaco are much more dynamic with Golovin in the fold, and his presence should reinvigorate them in midweek, while Les Monegasques have followed up every defeat this season with a victory.
Playing in Europe seems to impact Toulouse domestically, with Le Tefece lacking imagination during their Ligue 1 affairs, perhaps due to fatigue with a much more demanding schedule than they are used to.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.32% . A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6%) . The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match.
Result Toulouse Draw Monaco 36.11% ( 0.04) 24.56% ( -0) 39.32% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.27% ( 0.01)
56.32% ( 0.01) 43.67% ( -0.01)
33.93% ( 0.01) 66.06% ( -0.01)
76.16% ( 0.02) 23.84% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.98% ( 0.03) 58.02% ( -0.04)
77.82% ( -0.02) 22.17% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.42% ( -0.02) 55.57% ( 0.02)
Toulouse 36.11%
Monaco 39.32%
Draw 24.56%
Toulouse Draw Monaco 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.11% 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.32%
How you voted: Toulouse vs Monaco
53
rhs 2.0
Premier League La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 Primeira Liga Eredivisie Turkish Super Lig Champions League Europa League Europa Conference League Championship League One League Two FA Cup EFL Cup EFL Trophy National League National League Playoffs National League North National League South Women's FA Cup Women's Super League Premier League 2 - Div 1 Premier League 2 - Div 2 Scottish Premiership Scottish Cup Scottish League Cup Scottish Championship Scottish League One Scottish League Two NIFL Premiership Welsh Premier League League of Ireland Premier Copa del Rey Coppa Italia DFB-Pokal KNVB Beker Taca de Portugal Turkish Cup Women's Champions League Greek Superleague Belgian Pro League Swiss Super League Austrian Bundesliga Polish Ekstraklasa Ukrainian Premier League Russian Premier League Norwegian Eliteserien Swedish Allsvenskan Danish Superliga Finnish Veikkausliiga Hungarian NB I Croatian 1. HNL Romanian SuperLiga Czech Liga Slovenian PrvaLiga Slovak First Football League Belarusian Premier League Champions League Qualifying Europa League Qualifying Major League Soccer Brasileiro Argentine Primera Division Liga MX Uruguayan Primera Division Israeli Premier League Saudi Pro League Qatar Stars League Australian A-League Chinese Super League J1 League Copa Libertadores Copa Sudamericana AFC Champions League CONCACAF Champions League Club World Cup Segunda Division Serie B 2.Bundesliga Ligue 2 Eerste Divisie Euro Champ Qualifying Women's World Cup Nations League World Cup European Championship Copa America Africa Cup of Nations CONCACAF Gold Cup Confederations Cup CONCACAF Nations League World Cup Qualifying - Europe World Cup Qualifying - South America World Cup Qualifying - Africa World Cup Qualifying - Asia World Cup Qualifying - North Central America World Cup Qualifying - Oceania African Nations Championship Olympic Games Men's Football Olympic Games Women's Football Women's European Championship SheBelieves Cup Arnold Clark Cup Under-20s World Cup European Under-21s Championship European Under-19s Championship European Under-17s Championship
1
Euro 2024 squads: England, Germany, France and every squad named for Euro 2024
2
Arsenal target 'pushing for Barcelona return this summer'
3
Chelsea 'set deadline for appointing new manager'
4
Real Madrid 'draw up three-man shortlist of Kroos replacements'
5
Man Utd-linked striker issues fresh update on future
6
The greatest FA Cup finals of all time
7
Real Madrid vs. Betis - prediction, team news, lineups
8
Kaiserslautern vs. B. Leverkusen - prediction, team news, lineups
9
Lyon vs. PSG - prediction, team news, lineups
10
Sweden U17s vs. Poland U17s - prediction, team news, lineups
Trending Rugby Union Stories
Preview: Gloucester vs. Sharks - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Gloucester vs. Newcastle - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Bath vs. Saints - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Leicester Tigers vs. Exeter Chiefs - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Harlequins vs. Bristol Bears - prediction, team news, lineups