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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
59.45% ( 0.22) | 23.11% ( -0.1) | 17.44% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 47% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( 0.19) | 51.75% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( 0.17) | 73.52% ( -0.16) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.92% ( 0.15) | 17.08% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.73% ( 0.26) | 47.27% ( -0.26) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.69% ( -0.04) | 43.31% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.45% ( -0.03) | 79.56% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 59.44% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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