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World Cup
Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Centenario
Colombia national football team

Uruguay
vs.
Colombia

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Uruguay and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Ecuador
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Colombia10719
3Ecuador11619
4Brazil11617
5Uruguay10716
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 4-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 15 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Colombia10719
3Ecuador11619
4Brazil11617
5Uruguay10716
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

We say: Uruguay 1-1 Colombia

 Uruguay's only two wins in their last seven games both came on penalties at the Copa America, including in the third-place playoff, and ending a four-game scoreless run will be pivotal to getting back on track here. Colombia are a very threatening side under Lorenzo though, and ignoring their blip in the altitude of Bolivia, they have been very consistent in this qualifying campaign, and will be confident of a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.34%. A draw has a probability of 29.8% and a win for Colombia has a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Colombia win it is 0-1 (11.25%).

Result
UruguayDrawColombia
42.34% (-0.796 -0.8) 29.76% (0.571 0.57) 27.9% (0.229 0.23)
Both teams to score 41.02% (-1.272 -1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.4% (-1.626 -1.63)65.6% (1.628 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.69% (-1.14 -1.14)84.31% (1.143 1.14)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-1.264 -1.26)30.77% (1.266 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-1.517 -1.52)67.03% (1.518 1.52)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.24% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)40.75% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.66% (-0.669 -0.67)77.33% (0.67100000000001 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 42.33%
    Colombia 27.9%
    Draw 29.74%
UruguayDrawColombia
1-0 @ 14.77% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 13.26% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 12.53% (0.73 0.73)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.74%
0-1 @ 11.25% (0.44 0.44)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.1 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 27.9%

Who will win Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Colombia?

Uruguay
Draw
Colombia
Uruguay
34.2%
Draw
30.1%
Colombia
35.6%
73
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 1am
Semi-Finals
Uruguay
0-1
Colombia

de la Cruz (26'), Varela (63'), Gimenez (69')
Varela (90+8')
Lerma (39')
Munoz (31'), Rodriguez (55'), Castano (90+6'), Cuesta (90+7')
Munoz (45+1')
> Preview
Oct 12, 2023 9.30pm
Group Stage
Colombia
2-2
Uruguay
Rodriguez (35'), Uribe (52')
Vargas (8')
Vargas (87')
Olivera (47'), Nunez (90+1' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 8, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-0
Colombia
Bentancur (15')
Uribe (50'), Cuadrado (63'), Mojica (90')
> Preview
Jul 3, 2021 11pm
Quarter-Finals
Uruguay
0-0
Colombia
(Aggregate 0-0 | Colombia win 4-2 on penalties)
Godin (35')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2020 8.30pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-3
Uruguay

Mina (20'), Diaz (72'), Lerma (74'), Cardona (76')
Mina (90')
Cavani (5'), Suarez (54' pen.), Nunez (73')
Nandez (49')
> Preview
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