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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Coventry City

Watford
1 - 2
Coventry

Porteous (20')
Hoedt (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wright (40' pen., 72')
Kelly (19'), Palmer (23'), Bidwell (45+1'), Thomas (66'), Wright (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Coventry City

Having not won at Vicarage Road since November 25, Watford are devoid of confidence on their own patch but possess the quality to earn a result this weekend. Coventry have alternated lacklustre displays with handsome victories over the past fortnight - we are expecting something in the middle of those two extremes from the Sky Blues on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCoventry City
38.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.48% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 35.79% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.98% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (0.035000000000004 0.04)47.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.09% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (0.037999999999997 0.04)24.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.053000000000004 0.05)58.77% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 38.73%
    Coventry City 35.79%
    Draw 25.47%
WatfordDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 35.79%

How you voted: Watford vs Coventry

Watford
31.7%
Draw
26.7%
Coventry City
41.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Coventry
3-3
Watford
Van Ewijk (41'), Hoedt (64' og.), Godden (87')
Eccles (24'), McFadzean (60'), Sheaf (76')
Rajovic (35', 79'), Martins (52')
Porteous (30'), Sierralta (40'), Hoedt (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Coventry
2-2
Watford
Godden (58'), Sheaf (72')
Pedro (6'), Louza (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
0-0
Watford
Sierralta (24'), Gray (29')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Watford
3-2
Coventry
Gray (54'), Troost-Ekong (66'), Sarr (83' pen.)
Femenia (62')
Hamer (63'), Walker (64')
Skiri Oestigaard (55'), O'Hare (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland25138438221647
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2358103040-1023
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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