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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Coventry City |
38.73% ( 0.04) | 25.48% ( -0.01) | 35.79% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.09% ( 0.04) | 47.91% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.91% ( 0.03) | 70.09% ( -0.03) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% ( 0.04) | 24.36% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.23% ( 0.05) | 58.77% ( -0.05) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.02% ( -0) | 25.99% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39% ( -0) | 61% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.73% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.36% Total : 35.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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