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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Coventry City

Watford
1 - 2
Coventry

Porteous (20')
Hoedt (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wright (40' pen., 72')
Kelly (19'), Palmer (23'), Bidwell (45+1'), Thomas (66'), Wright (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Coventry City

Having not won at Vicarage Road since November 25, Watford are devoid of confidence on their own patch but possess the quality to earn a result this weekend. Coventry have alternated lacklustre displays with handsome victories over the past fortnight - we are expecting something in the middle of those two extremes from the Sky Blues on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCoventry City
38.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.48% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 35.79% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.98% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (0.035000000000004 0.04)47.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.09% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (0.037999999999997 0.04)24.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.053000000000004 0.05)58.77% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 38.73%
    Coventry City 35.79%
    Draw 25.47%
WatfordDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 35.79%

How you voted: Watford vs Coventry

Watford
31.7%
Draw
26.7%
Coventry City
41.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Coventry
3-3
Watford
Van Ewijk (41'), Hoedt (64' og.), Godden (87')
Eccles (24'), McFadzean (60'), Sheaf (76')
Rajovic (35', 79'), Martins (52')
Porteous (30'), Sierralta (40'), Hoedt (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Coventry
2-2
Watford
Godden (58'), Sheaf (72')
Pedro (6'), Louza (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
0-0
Watford
Sierralta (24'), Gray (29')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Watford
3-2
Coventry
Gray (54'), Troost-Ekong (66'), Sarr (83' pen.)
Femenia (62')
Hamer (63'), Walker (64')
Skiri Oestigaard (55'), O'Hare (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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