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League One
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League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Burton Albion

Wigan
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Hughes (43' og.)
Smith (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brayford (54')
Gilligan (75'), Hamer (90+4'), Powell (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 2-0 Burton Albion

 Wigan have won each of their last three home games, and we think that they will extend that winning run against a Burton side that will be low on confidence following four consecutive defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
46.75% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 27.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22% (0.049999999999997 0.05)58.77% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7% (0.038 0.04)79.29% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (0.044999999999987 0.04)25.17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (0.064 0.06)59.89% (-0.07 -0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)38.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 46.75%
    Burton Albion 25.92%
    Draw 27.32%
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 13.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 25.92%

How you voted: Wigan vs Burton Albion

Wigan Athletic
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Burton Albion
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Burton Albion
2-1
Wigan
Powell (68', 84' pen.)
Lubala (22'), Gordon (26'), Bennett (90+3')
Lubala (89')
Hughes (44')
Adeeko (21'), Clare (57'), Humphrys (88')
> Preview
Apr 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Burton Albion
0-0
Wigan
Mancienne (35'), Niasse (59'), Kokolo (79')
Watts (17'), Power (79'), Kerr (82')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Wigan
2-0
Burton Albion
McClean (9'), Tilt (51')
Darikwa (36'), Bayliss (39')

Hamer (57')
Smith (15')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Wigan
1-1
Burton Albion
Keane (37')
Powell (16')
Powell (12')
Dec 29, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
3-4
Wigan
O'Toole (13'), Brayford (25'), Hemmings (72')
Joseph (19', 28', 73'), Keane (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


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