Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Wealdstone |
46.79% ( 1.16) | 23.46% ( -0.2) | 29.74% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 60.82% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.37% ( 0.44) | 40.62% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.99% ( 0.45) | 63% ( -0.45) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.36% ( 0.63) | 17.63% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.76% ( 1.09) | 48.23% ( -1.09) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.84% ( -0.39) | 26.15% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% ( -0.52) | 61.23% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.86% Total : 46.79% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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