Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.