Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 68.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 13.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.