Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Sevilla |
35.5% ( 0.44) | 26.9% ( 0.19) | 37.6% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.02% ( -0.72) | 53.97% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.58% ( -0.61) | 75.42% ( 0.61) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% ( -0.08) | 29.06% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.02% ( -0.1) | 64.97% ( 0.1) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% ( -0.7) | 27.8% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% ( -0.9) | 63.39% ( 0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |