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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Northampton Town |
41.44% ( -4.61) | 25.45% ( -0.15) | 33.1% ( 4.76) |
Both teams to score 55.5% ( 2.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.71% ( 2.6) | 48.29% ( -2.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.57% ( 2.33) | 70.43% ( -2.33) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% ( -1.07) | 23.15% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.98% ( -1.59) | 57.02% ( 1.59) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.22% ( 4.59) | 27.78% ( -4.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.64% ( 5.52) | 63.36% ( -5.52) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 9.41% ( -1.38) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -1.27) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.75) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.44% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.46) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.85) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.73) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.71) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.46) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.54) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.33) Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 40 |
2 | Wrexham | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 40 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 21 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Burton Albion | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |