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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Boniface (4'), Hofmann (8')
Frimpong (68'), Tah (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Geschwill (45+5'), Arp (69' pen.)
Knudsen (60'), Weiner (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-4 Frankfurt
Sunday, September 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 Holstein Kiel

Considering Holstein Kiel's poor form this season and their defensive frailty, it is difficult to see how they avoid defeat. Bayer Leverkusen also boast an exceptional home record, and it would not be surprising if they managed to score multiple goals on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHolstein Kiel
64.52% (-2.438 -2.44) 18.37% (0.869 0.87) 17.11% (1.571 1.57)
Both teams to score 62.64% (0.336 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.1% (-1.167 -1.17)30.91% (1.169 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.73% (-1.399 -1.4)52.27% (1.401 1.4)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (-0.845 -0.84)9.11% (0.846 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.07% (-2.067 -2.07)30.93% (2.069 2.07)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (1 1)31.08% (-0.999 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (1.152 1.15)67.4% (-1.15 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 64.52%
    Holstein Kiel 17.11%
    Draw 18.37%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.58% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.174 0.17)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.359 -0.36)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-2 @ 4.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.382 -0.38)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.105 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.18% (-0.244 -0.24)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.266 -0.27)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 64.52%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.413 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.223 0.22)
0-0 @ 2.83% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.37%
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.36 0.36)
0-1 @ 3.31% (0.295 0.3)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.143 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 17.11%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Holstein Kiel

Bayer Leverkusen
86.3%
Draw
10.0%
Holstein Kiel
3.8%
80
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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