Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Wolfsburg |
68.13% ( -0.45) | 17.84% ( 0.26) | 14.03% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 56.7% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.04% ( -0.84) | 34.95% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.06% ( -0.94) | 56.94% ( 0.94) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.62% ( -0.32) | 9.37% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.43% ( -0.77) | 31.56% ( 0.77) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.56% ( -0.29) | 37.44% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.78% ( -0.28) | 74.22% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.53% Total : 68.13% | 1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.84% | 1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |