Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Oct 31, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio AXA
Braga2 - 1Guimaraes
FT(HT: 1-1)
Santos (10')
Handel (13'), Charles (18'), Borevkovic (45'), Villanueva (63'), Oliveira Baio (77')
Borevkovic (65')
Handel (13'), Charles (18'), Borevkovic (45'), Villanueva (63'), Oliveira Baio (77')
Borevkovic (65')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Farense
Sunday, October 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Braga 1-1 Guimaraes (Guimaraes win on pens)
Braga have only won two of their last five home games against Guimaraes, and lost against them here last month, so it is set to be a close encounter at the Quarry. Facing the holders to begin your campaign is never favourable, but the visitors will feel they are certainly capable of making it to the semi-finals of a competition where they have frequently underperformed, given their strong cup form so far this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
50.95% ( -0.07) | 23.83% ( 0.05) | 25.22% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.8% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
