Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ludogorets Arena
Bulgaria2 - 2Hungary
The Match
Match Report
Hungary score a last-gasp equaliser against Bulgaria to seal a 2-2 draw which books their place at Euro 2024.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bulgaria and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Albania 2-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Serbia | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 6 | -7 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bulgaria | Draw | Hungary |
24.77% ( -0.01) | 26.4% ( -0.02) | 48.83% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.53% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
