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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Peterborough United

Cheltenham
2 - 0
Peterborough

Nuttall (11'), Taylor (21')
Taylor (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Peterborough United

Although Ferguson could make alterations to his side, we still think that Peterborough will have enough quality required to claim a narrow win and end Cheltenham's three-year stay in the third tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPeterborough United
17.05% (-1.338 -1.34) 20.81% (-0.864 -0.86) 62.15% (2.206 2.21)
Both teams to score 53.44% (0.234 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27% (1.623 1.62)42.73% (-1.62 -1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (1.595 1.6)65.13% (-1.59 -1.59)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (-0.58300000000001 -0.58)38.43% (0.586 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (-0.564 -0.56)75.18% (0.566 0.57)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (1.194 1.19)13.2% (-1.188 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.08% (2.363 2.36)39.92% (-2.357 -2.36)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 17.05%
    Peterborough United 62.15%
    Draw 20.81%
Cheltenham TownDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 4.85% (-0.441 -0.44)
2-1 @ 4.7% (-0.287 -0.29)
2-0 @ 2.32% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 17.05%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.428 -0.43)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.373 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.81%
0-2 @ 10.4% (0.17 0.17)
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 7.02% (0.407 0.41)
1-3 @ 6.72% (0.288 0.29)
0-4 @ 3.56% (0.349 0.35)
1-4 @ 3.4% (0.285 0.29)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.089 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.113 0.11)
0-5 @ 1.44% (0.197 0.2)
1-5 @ 1.38% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 62.15%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Peterborough

Cheltenham Town
30.6%
Draw
6.1%
Peterborough United
63.3%
49
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Peterborough
0-3
Cheltenham
Bradbury (15'), May (21', 74')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cheltenham
2-3
Peterborough
Kent (30' og.), May (39')
Jackson (48'), Freestone (89')
Marriott (59'), Clarke-Harris (66', 72')
Fuchs (45+1'), Kent (61')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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