National League North | Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley4 - 0Curzon Ashton
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Curzon Ashton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Banbury 1-4 Chorley
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 3-0 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
48.81% ( 0.18) | 25.05% ( -0.09) | 26.13% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
