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League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Crawley
3 - 5
Shrewsbury

Swan (33'), Quitirna (62'), Kelley (90+5')
Williams (44'), Flint (53'), Mullarkey (75'), Mukena (90+9')
Flint (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marquis (26', 76' pen.), Nsiala (72'), Lloyd (86', 90+2')
Feeney (27'), Ojo (37'), Marquis (43'), Perry (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 3-4 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Birmingham
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

Crawley and Shrewsbury will both be desperate to claim maximum points in Saturday's contest, but with the two teams lacking in confidence, we think that they could cancel one another out in a score draw at Broadfield Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawShrewsbury Town
40.72% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 24.78% (0.038 0.04) 34.5% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.21% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (-0.162 -0.16)44.94% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-0.154 -0.15)67.29% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)22.04% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.174 -0.17)55.38% (0.175 0.18)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)25.33% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89% (-0.058 -0.06)60.11% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 40.72%
    Shrewsbury Town 34.5%
    Draw 24.78%
Crawley TownDrawShrewsbury Town
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.5%

How you voted: Crawley vs Shrewsbury

Crawley Town
37.9%
Draw
44.8%
Shrewsbury Town
17.2%
29
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2014 7.45pm
Sep 14, 2013 3pm
Apr 1, 2013 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-0
Crawley
Eaves (48', 67', 85')
Richards (45')

Clarke (75')
Dec 8, 2012 3pm
Crawley
2-2
Shrewsbury
Simpson (1', 81')
Connolly (43'), Akpan (45')
Richards (14'), Taylor (34')
Feb 27, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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