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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Bradford City
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Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
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Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
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MK Dons
Morecambe
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Crewe
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Adebisi (13')
Nevitt (85'), Long (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gordon (2')
O'Toole (63'), Davison (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 AFC Wimbledon

In a pivotal contest in the playoff race, Crewe Alexandra will likely fancy themselves to bounce back to winning ways with home advantage against an AFC Wimbledon side missing several key players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawAFC Wimbledon
39.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 25.95% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 34.07% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.1% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (0.173 0.17)50.21% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (0.154 0.15)72.16% (-0.158 -0.16)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (0.072000000000003 0.07)24.74% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (0.107 0.11)59.3% (-0.111 -0.11)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.108 0.11)28.11% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.141 0.14)63.78% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 39.98%
    AFC Wimbledon 34.07%
    Draw 25.94%
Crewe AlexandraDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.98%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.07%

How you voted: Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon

Crewe Alexandra
58.1%
Draw
21.0%
AFC Wimbledon
21.0%
62
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Crewe
Neufville (30'), Tilley (38')
Ogundere (52'), Currie (57')
Tabiner (51'), Nevitt (90+10')
Rowe (90+13'), White (90+7')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Crewe
Assal (45+1')
Adebisi (62')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Crewe
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Mandron (60'), Long (62'), Sambou (90+8')
Cosgrove (19')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crewe
Rudoni (24'), Palmer (35', 44' pen.)
Heneghan (81'), Assal (90+2')
Assal (90+4')
Long (11'), Porter (89')
Murphy (44'), Sass-Davies (79'), Williams (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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