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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Crewe
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Adebisi (13')
Nevitt (85'), Long (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gordon (2')
O'Toole (63'), Davison (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 AFC Wimbledon

In a pivotal contest in the playoff race, Crewe Alexandra will likely fancy themselves to bounce back to winning ways with home advantage against an AFC Wimbledon side missing several key players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawAFC Wimbledon
39.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 25.95% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 34.07% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.1% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (0.173 0.17)50.21% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (0.154 0.15)72.16% (-0.158 -0.16)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (0.072000000000003 0.07)24.74% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (0.107 0.11)59.3% (-0.111 -0.11)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.108 0.11)28.11% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.141 0.14)63.78% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 39.98%
    AFC Wimbledon 34.07%
    Draw 25.94%
Crewe AlexandraDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.98%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.07%

How you voted: Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon

Crewe Alexandra
58.1%
Draw
21.0%
AFC Wimbledon
21.0%
62
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Crewe
Neufville (30'), Tilley (38')
Ogundere (52'), Currie (57')
Tabiner (51'), Nevitt (90+10')
Rowe (90+13'), White (90+7')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Crewe
Assal (45+1')
Adebisi (62')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Crewe
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Mandron (60'), Long (62'), Sambou (90+8')
Cosgrove (19')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crewe
Rudoni (24'), Palmer (35', 44' pen.)
Heneghan (81'), Assal (90+2')
Assal (90+4')
Long (11'), Porter (89')
Murphy (44'), Sass-Davies (79'), Williams (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
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49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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