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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
39.98% ( -0) | 25.95% ( -0.04) | 34.07% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.1% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.79% ( 0.17) | 50.21% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.83% ( 0.15) | 72.16% ( -0.16) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% ( 0.07) | 24.74% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.69% ( 0.11) | 59.3% ( -0.11) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% ( 0.11) | 28.11% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.21% ( 0.14) | 63.78% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
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