Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.