Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.93% ( 0.76) | 22.65% ( -0.04) | 58.43% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 51.04% ( 1.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.27% ( 1.26) | 47.74% ( -1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.08% ( 1.16) | 69.93% ( -1.15) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.78% ( 1.6) | 39.22% ( -1.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.07% ( 1.47) | 75.93% ( -1.47) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.98% ( 0.19) | 16.03% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.64% ( 0.35) | 45.37% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.93% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 10.53% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 19 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
14 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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