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Championship header 2

League Two
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Harrogate Town

Grimsby Town
1 - 2
Harrogate

Green (90+1')
Artell (0'), Glennon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Foulds (41'), Odoh (72')
March (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Notts County
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-0 Harrogate Town

 This should be a close affair, but we are giving the home side the edge because they have been more consistent and have a little more quality in the attacking third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawHarrogate Town
53.96% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46) 23.14% (0.346 0.35) 22.91% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-1.004 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.18% (-1.402 -1.4)44.82% (1.406 1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-1.366 -1.37)67.18% (1.371 1.37)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (-0.65900000000001 -0.66)16.54% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.7% (-1.201 -1.2)46.3% (1.205 1.21)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.672 -0.67)33.58% (0.675 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (-0.743 -0.74)70.23% (0.746 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 53.96%
    Harrogate Town 22.91%
    Draw 23.13%
Grimsby TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10% (0.379 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.96%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.06% (0.254 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 22.91%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Harrogate

Grimsby Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Harrogate Town
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Grimsby Town
0-0
Harrogate
> Preview
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Harrogate
3-2
Grimsby Town
Armstrong (12', 76'), Crocombe (90+1' og.)
Khan (29'), Clifton (49')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Harrogate
1-0
Grimsby Town
Beck (77')

Matete (16')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Tilley (26')
Pollock (45'), Hendrie (48'), Preston (56'), Tilley (61'), Clifton (70')
Muldoon (25', 43')
Thomson (42'), Kerry (73')
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Group Stage
Grimsby Town
2-2
Harrogate
 Grimsby Town win 5-4 on penalties
Gibson (36' pen.), L (74')
Ohman (74'), Taylor (80')
Khouri (90')
Kiernan (81'), Lokko (86')
Lokko (33'), Smith (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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